Will a GPT-3 quality model be trained for under $10.000 by 2030?

Will mechanistic interpretability be essentially solved for GPT-2 before 2030?

Will there be an LLM (as good as GPT-4) that was trained with 1/100th the energy consumed to train GPT-4, by 2026?

Will it be possible to disentangle most of the features learned by a model comparable to GPT-3 this decade? (1k subsidy)

Will a language model comparable to GPT-4 be trained, with ~1/10th the amount of energy it took train GPT-4, by 2028?

Will an open source model beat GPT-4 in 2024?

Will a model be trained using at least as much compute as GPT-3 using AMD GPUs before Jan 1 2026?

Will a GPT-4 quality model be trained for under $10.000 by 2030?

Will we have an open-source model better than GPT-4-Turbo before 2025?

Will $10,000 worth of AI hardware be able to train a GPT-3 equivalent model in under 1 hour, by EOY 2027?