What will be the next word sama tweets? [short-fuse]
20
191
1.1k
resolved May 3
Resolved
YES
is
Resolved
N/A
gpt
Resolved
N/A
great
Resolved
N/A
new
Resolved
N/A
a
Resolved
N/A
openai
Resolved
N/A
i
Resolved
N/A
the
Resolved
N/A
soon

Resolves the next time that the @sama account tweets (not including replies) with the first word that is on this list.

e.g., if the tweet is "video input now in gpt-4.5-turbo", but noone has added an option for 'video', then this resolves to 'input' or 'now' or whatever first word is an option.

case-insensitive.

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resolved. first word: is

@raizel are you not gonna resolve the rest of the answers no?

@raizel You should resolve the rest to no…

@No_ones_ghost that's my bad. i resolved them to N/A since i was away and the market seems to have changed in the meantime.

@raizel ??? Then you should resolve the “is” option to NA as well because people bet on it with different interpretations of the whole market

@raizel If your intention is to choose the first word to YES and rest NA, people would have just buy everything up to 100% since no loss

@Sss19971997 I reported the market, I suggest you do the same

@No_ones_ghost Thx, just done

@Sss19971997

>If your intention is to choose the first word to YES and rest NA, people would have just buy everything up to 100% since no loss

that's true. my intent was originally to resolve the others to no, but since i was away after i didn't realize to resolve the others NO, at the time i thought the correct course of action was to resolve the others N/A, because in the meantime, people would have bet on the others being NO, and shifting the market after it should have resolved. but this makes sense. unfortunately it doesn't seem like i can "unresolve" it even though that option appeared when i originally resolved them to N/A. seems like i misunderstood what should have been done here. thanks for explaining :)

@raizel then resolve the YES to NA as well to make the whole market neutral

@Sss19971997 it doesn't look like i can as i already resolved it; sorry!!

wow, if only he would tweet something