Manifest/LessOnline

Manifest
Manifest is a forecasting and prediction markets festival hosted by Manifold Markets. June 7-9, 2024. Berkeley, California.
50%
Smoke Session
50%
Orgy
61%
chess tournament
64%
someone makes soup
92%
two or more people wear jimmy carter pins
96%
Go (game) is played physically in person
96%
Chess is played physically in person
44%
Physical spice (seasoning, hot sauce, whatever) is used by a speaker to symbolize or represent Spice from Manifold
Come to Manifest 2024 (June 7-9 in Berkeley)
Manifold is hosting a festival for prediction markets: Manifest 2024! Weโ€™ll have serious talks, attendee-run workshops, and fun side events over the weekend. Chat with special guests like Nate Silver, Scott Alexander, Robin Hanson, Dwarkesh Patel, Cate Hall, and more at this second in-person gathering of the forecasting & prediction market community!
92%
Nate Silver
91%
Aella
18%
Dylan Matthews
83%
Eliezer Yudkowsky
50%
Dylan Matthews - @DylanMatthews
93%
Tony Pepperoni @TonyPepperoni
66%
Fraser - @spider
91%
Haven Harms - @HWH
1.2%
0-100
2%
101-200
9%
201-300
28%
301-400
96%
Meet two of the core team members
87%
I will laugh
80%
Listen to live music
67%
Eat a bagel
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