What topics or who will Elon Musk tweet about on X before May 1st?
195
2.7K
27K
May 1
7%
Taylor Swift
2%
Manifold
30%
Sam Altman
7%
Jimmy Carter
7%
Abortion
12%
Lex Fridman
4%
Soup
15%
Bill Gates
10%
Any primary or caucus
9%
Migrant-borne disease
19%
AGI
14%
Bitcoin
22%
Literally "69" in any context
13%
Sam Bankman-Fried
15%
Xi Jinping
8%
Some reference to his birthday being 69 days after 4/20
13%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
7%
slavery
23%
Ukraine (anything about peace deal, negotiations, war comments)
7%
The Effective Altruism movement

Whatever Musk tweets or reposts, including reposts (the content directly visible in the repost and videos without opening a thread) after market creation, counts. Whatever is visible under "Posts" on his page, even if deleted later, also counts. Replies, etc., do not count.

  • I reserve the right to mark any answer as N/A for any reason, especially low value answers (i.e. "Tesla" or "United States") according to my judgement. Please ask beforehand. [payments for submissions won't be returned]

  • Maximum of 10 submissions/user

Resolution criteria

  • I'll be fairly relaxed, but it should be clear and obvious. I.e. if he tweets "the president does[...]," Joe Biden would resolve to yes. However, "Obamacare" won't resolve "Obama." "Transgender" isn't enough to resolve "LGBT," but "LGBTQIA+" and "transgender, [...] homosexuals and bisexuals" would resolve "LGBT." If you need more examples, please feel free to ask.

  • I'll use my own judgment and might seek input from mods in unclear cases or decide to N/A.

  • I won't bet in this market. [expect M$1 to push certain answers in the ranking]

  • The question closes on May 1st at 0:00 PST. Any submissions without proof by May 2nd at 0:00 PST will be resolved as NO.

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Only original posts and reposts are considered for this question. Replies do not count.

Submissions are closed. Please add them to this market:

Cathie Wood or ARK Invest
bought Ṁ126 Cathie Wood or ARK I... YES
A distracted boyfriend meme [see comments]
bought Ṁ50 A distracted boyfrie... YES

the meme is in the beginning of this video he's shared and encouraged people to watch/listen to! 😂

https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1783930332166951417

@shankypanky Yes 🙃 But these are excluded in the follow-up question.

@Lion and btw, why didn't he just repost your soup meme? So much better...

@Lion you're right

@shankypanky *always 😉

Israel
bought Ṁ1,000 Israel YES

bibi says "they call for the annihilation of Israel" in this repost

https://twitter.com/netanyahu/status/1783191454308864300

@shankypanky thanks, I could have realizied that 🙃

Reddit
bought Ṁ2,000 Reddit YES
Climate Change (March 16th or later)
bought Ṁ2,000 Climate Change (Marc... YES
Benjamin Netanyahu

@simoj Thank you 🥰

Tucker Carlson
bought Ṁ600 Tucker Carlson YES

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1783446651031724484

@simoj Thanks ❤

Woke Mind Virus
bought Ṁ350 Woke Mind Virus YES

@simoj Thanks 👍

Roman Empire
bought Ṁ10 Roman Empire YES

Think this counts? (The books are about Rome and it says “Roman Empire” in the picture)

@simoj WOHOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO 🥳 Yes, that counts accordingly to the description

@simoj happy because won bet, but sad because powerful person pushing cringe right wing memes on millions of followers 😔

Only original posts and reposts are considered for this question. Replies do not count.

Submissions are closed. Please add them to this market:

Palindromes

can I add this back in? 4/20/2024 is a palindrome

@shankypanky Sure, go ahead, I N/Aed it for spam reasons.

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