CoolFold

Welcome to #CoolFold ! A movement to create fun and unconventional prediction experiences for the Manifold community. There are many markets in the Spirit of CoolFold, and you can find some of the most significant examples below. Sometimes we push the limit a bit too hard, currently responsible for at least two server errors.

CoolFold Leaderboard: https://manifold.markets/leaderboards?topic=coolfold

67%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF / SPY (PICKED)
66%
ProShares UltraPro QQQ / TQQQ (PICKED)
60%
Google/Alphabet stock GOOG (PICKED)
60%
Nvidia stock NVDA
28%
Jersey number of the Heisman trophy winner
37%
Jersey number of the Cy Young award winner
41%
Jersey number of the NBA rookie of the year
41%
Number of president executive orders in 2025

🆒CoolFold 30 Challenge: 30 Questions Ending 2030

🔗 https://manifold.markets/dashboard/the-coolfold-30-challenge

5%
Twitter gets a new CEO after Linda Yaccarino (or ceases operations)
6%
Grand Theft Auto 6 releases
7%
Bitcoin reaches $100K USD
10%
Book of Mormon ends on Broadway
97%
Donate 34% to give well, 33 % to internet archive, 33% to mriya
93%
Proposal: Donate it all to MSF / Doctors without Borders
92%
Proposal: Donate it all to Givewell (PASSED AWAITING APPROVAL)
See more questions: