This market works as follows. Each answer represents one investment idea. Each answer will eventually resolve to a percent, which will be the ROI after 6 months starting on May 1st 2024. Each 1% above/below 50% represents 1/2 point gained/lost over 6 months.
100% indicates a return of 25% after 6 months
80% indicates a return of 15% after 6 months
70% indicates a return of 10% after 6 months
50% indicates a return of 0% after 6 months
30% indicates a return of -10% after 6 months
20% indicates a return of -15% after 6 months
0% indicates a return of -25% after 6 months
On May 1st I'll put $500 into each of the top 10 choices on this list. If there is any profit after 6 months, I will share 5% of it among the top 5 spots on this market's leaderboard in a manner TBD!
Additional Rules
Must be able to be easily invested in by an average USA citizen
Can be refused for having 2 or less bettors on it or being added last second
I reserve the right to refuse any suggestion
JIMMY CARTER PINS - I am doing a side investment of $100 for 100 pins. Predict the ROI to the best of your ability, but it won't be chosen if it is in the top 10
MAGIC THE GATHERING PACKS - I am doing a side investment of $150 for two unopened The Dark booster packs. Predict the ROI to the best of your ability, but it won't be chosen if it is in the top 10
LINK: Click for tracking spreadsheet
Related:
Related questions
dpz worst performer so far </3
nvidia is doing well, will i regret not taking it?
Market->
updated the spreadsheet with final price data (if anyone has a better template to use lmk)
AMZN 181.94
BRK.B 392.71
DPZ 525.58
GOOG 166
META 428
TQQQ 52.07
COST 722.27
QCOM 164.51
SPY 501.33
MSFT 392.44
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1s1OxlwEalnadLVi8z0OMdV-tToKSRUnu8NpE52AF1hQ/edit#gid=0
@ZacParker probably too hard on last minute notice, also i am located in USA which limits some stuff. someone added kalshi betting on BTC hitting 100k or the tiktok ban, but that happened already
@strutheo The facebook AI stuff seems to me like pure fluff, that plus people cheerleading zuck for buying a bunch of GPU's at the right time - I wouldn't buy it, but I also wouldn't bet against it over such a short period.
Tbh, I don't want to bet on any of these going down, I am a permabull and it has yet to fail me
edit: I tried to condense this comment bc it seemed needlessly long and now it basically doesn't say anything I wanted to say, leaving it tho 👍