How much Mana will be donated before the pivot?
8
122
160
resolved May 17
Resolved
310,000-320,000

You can donate Mana now, at $1/Ṁ100. After the pivot, Mana can be purchased for Ṁ1000/$1, and donated at $0.95/Ṁ1000. At least according to the announcement so far.

So there's basically a 10x to donate Mana by the end of April, along with many other reasons to donate.

How much will be donated? This will resolve to the running total on https://manifold.markets/charity, unless a better number is published by Manifold staff.

FYI, the number was $180,783 when I first heard about the pivot announcement yesterday.

If the pivot is delayed, this will extend until the purchase rate for Mana changes.

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$136,275 or so to charity. Not bad considering we had not hit the $10k monthly cap any time this year.

I have a screenshot that says Ṁ317,058. The pivot happened, and the mana purchase rate changed sometime in the last few hours.

I'm going to let this market close in a couple hours as currently scheduled. This market resolves based on the amount donated when the purchase rate for Mana changes, I expect that to happen in the next 24 hours, but for now I can still only purchase Mana at the old rate.

If there is an updated timeline for this part of the pivot, I'll reopen the market as needed.

I see the current donation total as Ṁ316,237. Please help me out with some screenshots if you notice the change happen before I do, especially if the donation total is near the edge of a bucket.

Is it mana or $?
Also is it total or increase from 180783?

@ChristopherRandles this will resolve to the total.

Mana where my mouth is

@robm I will not bet in this market, because my balance is Ṁ0