I think the pivot has basically killed off all [add responses] markets overnight. No one will want to add responses to them when it costs 250 mana. What's your plan to make it to the top spot regardless?

i'm going into the desert to meditate

@PlasmaBallin So I see this as somewhat true, but also if you won't add responses for 250 mana, why would you create your own markets where it costs 250 mana to create them? Has it just killed off all markets?

i dont think mc answers even counted btw, it just goes off the unique traders at the top of the market

@Fedor The pivot is expected by many, including me and plasma I think, to kill off most markets in general. A market needs to have a huge amount of trading volume to be profitable now. The most profitable markets can probably survive but anything that was barely profitable before should now be extremely unprofitable, and that describes the vast majority of markets on the website

@Fedor

Has it just killed off all markets?

To some extent, yes. I don't know if there's a way to track the market creation rate, but I would be shocked if it didn't decrease by at least a factor of two post-pivot (I think the actual factor by which it decreases will be much larger, probably around an order of magnitude). But [add responses] will be hit especially hard because those rely not just on the creator, but also the traders, to spend mana. Plus, the total cost of any free response market is going to be much much higher than the cost of a binary market.

@PlasmaBallin listed in the stat page here 'questions created' https://manifold.markets/stats

@strutheo So, my most popular market type 'what happens at X formula 1 weekend' gets 20-35 traders. My last one would now cost like ~4000 mana to create, and it raised a total of 50 in fees, so those are to be severely restricted.

Who feels bold enough to stop the @strutheo train?

@ClubmasterTransparent im tired boss

Just to be clear, currently it would resolve 19 because of the earthquake, right?

new allies obtained, three more spots to go

as i approached the final throne, i saw what was behind it - not bte, but manifold itself

they've sent me back in time and are changing the rules on us, but there are still months left in the year

Before the final blow was struck, I throw open a portal in time and flung him into the future where my evil is strong! Now the fool seeks to return to the past and undo the future that is AKU!!!

@strutheo

... the devs flipped my warthog over at the last second

lets see if they right it before the pivot comes

Mispriced market IMHO

@traders There was another massive shake-up on the leaderboard, and @strutheo is now in 8th.

@TimothyJohnson5c16 they might keep changing who knows , blah

@strutheo Yeah, I'm keeping in mind that I may have to flip back to YES again, lol.

at long last, #2

help me speedrun through the fiery chaos as the pivot closes in behind us!!!

9000 to go

@strutheo Final boss!

@strutheo That's a lot quicker than I expected!

@Fedor I think the shake-up on the leaderboard made it a lot easier.